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December 20, 2024

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The Yield Curve

The RRG above shows the rotations of the various maturities on the US-Yield Curve.

What we see at the moment is that the shorter maturities like BIL, SHY, and IEI are in relative uptrends against GOVT which means that the accompanying yields are being pushed lower.

The longer maturities, all inside the lagging quadrant, are in opposite moves and their yields are being pushed higher.

The result of such a rotation is a so-called “steepening” of the yield curve.

This chart shows the 10-2 yield curve. 10-year yield minus 2-year yield. In a normal situation, longer-dated maturities carry a higher yield than shorter-dated maturities. For almost 2.5 years this was not the case in the US. The negative values in the chart above indicate an “inverted” yield curve. This has happened a few times in the past but it is considered non-normal.

The recent rise of the 10-2 difference above 0 indicates a return to normal for the US yield curve.

Another way of showing the move of the yield curve is by using the Dynamic Yield Curve tool on the site. Here are three snapshots of the YC move since mid-2022.

This visualization shows the love of the entire curve. It not only shows the steepening vs flattening move but also the rise of the total curve of around 2% from just above 2% to over 4.5% currently.

The Relative Rotation Graph showing the rotations of the various maturities will help investors to keep track of the steepening/flattening move.

The US Dollar

The RRG for the G10 currencies, using the USD as the benchmark, shows a picture that could not be more clear.

The USD is the strongest currency at the moment.

All currencies in this group are, moving further, inside the lagging quadrant, indicating downtrends against the USD which is the center of the RRG.

This is a pretty massive move showing the strength of the USD against all other currencies.

On the EUR/USD chart, we can see a test of a major support level of around 1.03.

Once that support breaks, the way down is wide open towards the 0.96 area where the market bottomed out in 2022.

On the flip side. When support holds and EUR/USD can take out 1.06 we will have a completed double bottom targeting the upper boundary of the current range.

Looking at the $USD index chart, which is the USD expressed against a basket of currencies, we see that an upward break has already taken place. Taking this as a lead suggests that the odds are tilted in favor of a downward break in EUR/USD.

Sectors and SPY

Despite the big drop earlier this week, the sector rotation on the weekly RRG has not drastically changed (yet). So far the strength for XLC and XLY remains present. Only XLF has rolled over but remains inside the leading quadrant.

A similar observation can be made on the daily version of this chart.

On the weekly chart of SPY, the price has dropped back to a double support area around 585 where the rising support line meets horizontal support coming off the October high.

So far this all remains within “normal behavior” for an uptrend.

When SPY breaks that double support level and leaves the channel a re-assessment of the situation is needed.

#StayAlert and have a great weekend — Julius

When running my StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) scan on Thursday, I was a little surprised to find that 75 exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and large-cap stocks made the cut, especially after Wednesday’s selloff. It was a little ray of hope.

A quick sweep of the list didn’t reveal a particular sector or asset class to be dominant. The stocks and ETFs represented a broad segment of the stock market.

After going through the list, one security that caught my eye was the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), which closely follows the S&P 500 ($SPX). After the 2.98% drop in the S&P 500 on Wednesday, is SPY still technically strong? Let’s look at the daily SPY chart (see below).

FIGURE 1. DAILY CHART OF SPY ETF. The last two bars in the chart show that SPY is wavering. It’s not breaking below the mid-November lows, yet it doesn’t seem to want to move higher. It is trading below its 50-day moving average, the RSI is indicating slowing momentum, and the S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index is below 50. Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

Since mid-August, the SCTR (pronounced s-c-o-o-t-e-r) score has been hovering between the 70 and 90 levels. It’s now almost at 80. On Thursday, the ETF’s price closed at around the same level as Wednesday’s and is below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). The relative strength index (RSI) is getting close to its oversold level.

The bottom line is that even though the SPY has a SCTR score of 79, and it hasn’t broken below the mid-November low, the RSI indicates momentum is weak, and the S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index ($BPSPX) is at around 41%, i.e., leaning toward bearishness. 

So, after a selloff like we just had, does it make sense to consider adding long SPY positions at this level? At the moment, the SPY is acting indecisive, but at some point, it’ll have to make a directional up or down move. A reversal with strong follow-through would be a signal to go long. The indicators displayed in the chart of SPY should support the reversal. If, on the other hand, SPY breaks below the mid-November low and the SCTR score falls below the 76 threshold, it would be a signal to unwind some positions. 

This is one chart to monitor as we wind down the year. We’ll see if Santa comes through next week!


Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

Cyprium Metals Limited (ASX: CYM, OTC: CYPMF) (Cyprium or the Company) is pleased to announce the successful completion of Tranche 1 of the two-tranche placement to raise in aggregate A$13.5 million (before costs) via the issue of a total of 483,203,140 fully paid ordinary shares in the Company (Placement Shares) at an issue price of A$0.028 per Share, as announced by the Company on 13 December 2024 (Placement).

Highlights:

  • Tranche 1 of the Placement raised A$5.2 million (before costs).
  • Completion of Tranche 2 of the Placement to raise an additional A$8.3 million is subject to shareholder approval at an extraordinary meeting to be held in January 2025.
  • Cyprium intends to undertake a retail entitlement offer to existing eligible shareholders on the same terms as the Placement.

Pursuant to the terms of the Placement, subscribers were offered 1 free-attaching unlisted option for every 2 Placement Shares subscribed for, with an exercise price of A$0.042 per option and expiry date of 31 December 2027 (Placement Options).

Under Tranche 1 of the Placement, the Company confirms that it has today issued:

  • 185,714,285 Placement Shares; and
  • 92,857,143 Placement Options.

Tranche 2 of the Placement, comprising 297,488,855 Placement Shares and 148,744,427 Placement Options will be issued subject to shareholder approval which will be sought at a meeting of the Company’s shareholders in January 2025. Shareholder approval is also being sought for the issue of 20,000,000 options on the same terms as the Placement Options to the cornerstone investor of the Placement.

Proceeds of the Placement will be used as follows:

  • Nifty site costs;
  • Permit support and DFS preparation and costs;
  • Tenement maintenance and geology work;
  • Working capital and costs of the Placement.

Canaccord Genuity acted as Lead Manager to the Placement.

Click here for the full ASX Release

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

The US Federal Reserve announced an interest rate cut of 25 basis points on Wednesday (December 18), reducing its target range to 4.25 to 4.5 percent in its third reduction of the year.

Policymakers also signaled that only two rate cuts are expected in 2025 versus the four originally forecast.

In comments after the Fed’s meeting, Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the Fed will remain cautious next year, focusing on labor market strength and further progress in curbing inflation.

‘I think the actual cuts that we make next year will not be because of anything we wrote down today. We’re going to react to data; that’s just the general sense of what the committee thinks is likely to be appropriate,’ he said.

Gold, silver and markets fall post-rate cut

Financial markets experienced significant volatility following the Fed’s announcement.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX:.DJI) dropped by 1,123 points on Wednesday, a 2.58 percent decline, which extended its losing streak to 10 consecutive days — the longest since 1974.

The S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) dropped 178.45 points, or 2.95 percent, ending at 5,872.16.

Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite (INDEXNASDAQ:.IXIC) recorded the steepest decline of the three on Wednesday, losing 716.37 points, or 3.56 percent, to close at 19,392.69.

The selloff was triggered by the Fed’s cautious tone and change in its 2025 rate cut projections. Many market participants had anticipated a more aggressive series of reductions, and took the time to reassess their strategies.

Some experts have described the Fed’s move as a “hawkish cut.’ The Fed’s hesitation about future policy shifts has heightened investor uncertainty, leading to widespread profit taking in the market.

Bond yields also rose sharply as investors now expect tighter financial conditions for an extended period.

The gold price experienced volatility, shedding 2 percent following the rate cut, slipping to US$2,585 per ounce. The decline marked the first time the yellow metal has fallen below US$2,600 since mid-November.

While gold rebounded in after-hours trading, sister metal silver fell 3 percent after the rate cut and is holding in the US$29.20 per ounce range.

Powell talks Trump and Bitcoin after meeting

In a press conference after the Fed’s meeting, Powell addressed questions about how the central bank’s decisions may interact with economic policies proposed by President-elect Donald Trump.

While emphasizing the Fed’s independence, Powell also acknowledged the uncertainty currently surrounding Trump’s proposed tax cuts, tariff increases and immigration measures.

‘It’s very premature to make any kind of conclusions. We don’t know what will be tariffed, from what countries, for how long, in what size,’ Powell explained to reporters on Wednesday.

That said, he noted that Fed officials have started assessing potential scenarios. Powell also said Trump’s policies could have inflationary effects, particularly through increased tariffs and fiscal stimulus measures.

For instance, the Fed’s projections show economic growth remaining slightly above trend in 2025, with inflation staying above target for at least two more years. The jobless rate is expected to remain low, hovering around 4.3 percent.

These conditions, Powell said, will guide future monetary policy decisions, irrespective of changes in fiscal policy.

He also clarified the central bank’s stance on digital assets, responding to Trump’s campaign discussions on creating a strategic reserve for popular cryptocurrency Bitcoin.

Powell was clear that the Fed is not authorized to own Bitcoin under existing laws, and has no plans to advocate for legislative changes to enable such holdings.

‘That’s the kind of thing for Congress to consider, but we are not looking for a law change at the Fed,’ he said.

Following Powell’s comment, Bitcoin dropped below US$100,000, its steepest decline since September of this year.

Moving forward, the Fed reiterated its goal to bring inflation back to its benchmark 2 percent target.

Securities Disclosure: I, Giann Liguid, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

Stock futures are trading slightly lower Monday morning as investors gear up for the final month of 2024. S&P 500 futures slipped 0.18%, alongside declines in Dow Jones Industrial Average futures and Nasdaq 100 futures, which dropped 0.13% and 0.17%, respectively. The market’s focus is shifting to upcoming economic data, particularly reports on manufacturing and construction spending, ahead of this week’s key labor data releases.

November was a standout month for equities, with the S&P 500 futures rallying to reflect the index’s best monthly performance of the year. Both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average achieved all-time highs during Friday’s shortened trading session, with the Dow briefly surpassing 45,000. Small-cap stocks also saw robust gains, with the Russell 2000 index surging over 10% in November, buoyed by optimism around potential tax cuts.

As trading kicks off in December, investors are keeping a close eye on geopolitical developments in Europe, where France’s CAC 40 index dropped 0.77% amid political concerns, while Germany’s DAX and the U.K.’s FTSE 100 showed smaller declines.

S&P 500 futures will likely continue to act as a key barometer for market sentiment, particularly as traders assess the impact of upcoming economic data and global market developments.

S&P 500 Index Chart Analysis

This 15-minute chart of the S&P 500 Index shows a recent trend where the index attempted to break above the resistance level near 6,044.17 but retraced slightly to close at 6,032.39, reflecting a minor decline of 0.03% in the session. The candlestick pattern indicates some indecisiveness after a steady upward momentum seen earlier in the day.

On the RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator, the value sits at 62.07, having declined from the overbought zone above 70 earlier. This suggests that the bullish momentum might be cooling off, and traders could anticipate a short-term consolidation or slight pullback. However, with RSI above 50, the overall trend remains positive, favoring buyers.

The index’s recent low of 5,944.36 marks a key support level, while the high at 6,044.17 could act as resistance. If the price sustains above the 6,020 level and RSI stabilizes without breaking below 50, the index could attempt another rally. Conversely, a drop below 6,020 could indicate a bearish shift.

In conclusion, the index displays potential for continued gains, but traders should watch RSI levels and price action near the support and resistance zones for confirmation.

The post Stock Futures Lower after S&P 500 futures ticked down 0.18% appeared first on FinanceBrokerage.

Stock futures climbed on Wednesday, driven by strong performances from Salesforce and Marvell Technology, following upbeat quarterly earnings. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 215 points (0.5%), while S&P 500 futures gained 0.3%, and Nasdaq-100 futures advanced by 0.7%.

Salesforce surged 12% after reporting fiscal third-quarter revenue that exceeded expectations, showcasing robust demand in the enterprise software sector. Meanwhile, chipmaker Marvell jumped 14% after surpassing earnings estimates and providing optimistic fourth-quarter guidance, indicating resilience in the semiconductor industry.

This movement follows a mixed session on Wall Street, where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed with small gains, while the Dow dipped slightly. The broader market has experienced a modest start to December, contrasting with November’s robust rally, but analysts anticipate a resurgence in momentum. LPL Financial’s George Smith pointed out that December historically sees strong market performance, particularly in the latter half of the month.

However, economic data introduced some caution. ADP’s report revealed that private payrolls grew by just 146,000 in November, missing estimates of 163,000. This signals potential softness in the labor market, with investors now awaiting Friday’s November jobs report for further clarity.

S&P 500 Index Chart Analysis

Based on the provided stock chart, which appears to be a 15-minute candlestick chart for the S&P 500 Index, here’s a brief analysis:

The chart shows a clear upward trend, with higher highs and higher lows indicating bullish momentum over the analyzed period. The index has steadily climbed from a low of approximately 5,855 to a recent high of 6,053.58, suggesting strong buying interest.

Key resistance is observed near 6,050-6,053 levels, as the price has struggled to break above this zone in the most recent sessions. If the index breaches this level with strong volume, it could lead to further upward movement. Conversely, failure to break out may lead to a pullback, with potential support around the 6,000 psychological level and 5,980, where consolidation occurred previously.

The candlestick patterns show relatively small wicks, indicating limited volatility, which could imply steady market confidence. However, the bullish rally could be overextended, warranting caution for traders, especially if any negative catalysts emerge.

In summary, the short-term trend is bullish, but traders should monitor resistance levels and volume for signs of a breakout or reversal. It’s also essential to watch broader market factors, as indices are often influenced by macroeconomic data and sentiment.

The post S&P 500 climbed 0.3%, and Nasdaq-100 futures jumped 0.7% appeared first on FinanceBrokerage.

Malls used to be the destination for the buzziest stores. Now they’re home to the hottest restaurants.

The slow death of department stores and rise of online shopping have hurt U.S. shopping malls, particularly over the last decade. The once-essential shopping centers have seen their numbers drop from a peak of 2,500 in the 1980s to roughly 700 these days, according to Coresight Research.

But now many in the retail industry say that rumors of the mall’s demise have been greatly exaggerated. Many Gen Z consumers prefer to shop in person and love the mall experience. Creative solutions from developers have turned empty department stores into housing, bringing consumers even closer to stores.

And landlords are devoting more square footage to restaurants and bars, which have become a bigger draw to visit malls.

“It’s been a big shift,” said David Henkes, senior principal at Technomic, a market research firm focused on the restaurant industry. “It used to be that the shopping occasion drove people to the mall and then maybe you grabbed a bite to eat. In a lot of ways, that’s been flipped on its head. Now, the dining options drive people there, and then you’re hoping that they’re going to do a little shopping while they’re there.”

Yelp found that 17 of the 25 most popular mall brands, based on consumer interest, were restaurants, according to a report published in October.

Going back 10 or 20 years ago, restaurants accounted for only about 5% to 10% of general leasing area in malls operated by Brookfield Properties, according to Chris Brandon, the company’s senior vice president of leasing for eating and drinking retail. That would typically include a food court and several full-service restaurants. That’s changed in recent years.

“It’s increased an incredible amount over the last five to 10 years,” Brandon said. “In some of our shopping centers, we’re seeing 20% to 30% of the total [general leasing area] being dedicated to food, and that’s 100% by design.”

Brookfield’s portfolio of 129 malls include Tysons Galleria in McLean, Virginia; Christiana Mall in Newark, Delaware; and First Colony Mall in Sugar Land, Texas. Its mall restaurant tenants include more than 540 full-service eateries and around 2,000 fast-casual establishments.

More than half a century ago, the Paramus Park shopping mall in New Jersey opened a food court on its second floor, becoming the first example of a successful mall food court in the U.S. A decade later, food courts had become of a staple of the American mall, helping the expansion of chains like Sbarro, Mrs. Fields and Auntie Anne’s.

Full-service chains like the Cheesecake Factory, TGI Fridays and California Pizza Kitchen also became mall mainstays.

But those familiar names are no longer the only options for shoppers. These days, malls offer a much wider selection of eateries and refreshments, from regional restaurants to local chefs and emerging bubble tea chains.

“What malls are looking for tend to be more high end, what we might call a ‘contemporary casual’ restaurant,” Henkes said. “It’s not fine dining, per se, but it’s sort of that notch up from just traditional casual.”

Those contemporary casual eateries include upscale options like Korean barbeque, steakhouses or sushi. While price points vary, a meal at these new mall eateries will likely cost upward of $30 per person, if not more.

For James Cook, head of retail research for real estate firm JLL, the expansion in dining options offers an experience that’s familiar — but still elevated.

“The distinction that I make is that I’m not necessarily dressing up nice to go to a mall,” he said. “This is a restaurant where I could pay more money, but not necessarily feel like I have to wear a suit jacket or anything like that.”

The pandemic also made malls a more attractive option to restaurateurs.

During lockdowns, operators saw their traffic disappear. Even when consumers started dining out and commuting again, restaurants in central business districts still struggled to attract diners, given the new hybrid workforce and other changes to consumer behavior. But malls bounced back.

“Even today, foot traffic to suburban malls is back above pre-pandemic levels, where in the cities and the city centers, foot traffic has not returned,” JLL’s Cook said.

That foot traffic also appeals to emerging chains that are looking to expand quickly. Restaurant companies like Sweetgreen and Mendocino Farms have opened new locations in malls as they seek to grow their sales and brand awareness.

“The one thing that our properties can offer is scale, and scale really quickly. If they’re used to doing X in their food truck, now they’re doing X times two or three,” Brandon said.

For example, Din Tai Fung, a Taiwanese restaurant chain, has honed in on malls for its U.S. expansion, according to Alison Lin, Yelp’s head of restaurants. Upcoming locations will open in Scottsdale Fashion Square in Arizona and Brea Mall in Southern California, according to the chain’s website. Din Tai Fung ranked second in Yelp’s report on most popular mall brands by consumer interest. (Din Tai Fung declined to comment).

As malls devote more space to food and drinks, food courts have been supplemented by a newer, more upscale alternative: food halls.

Like food courts, food halls offer an array of dining options, usually from stalls, with general seating available once diners have purchased and picked up their food and drinks.

But unlike food courts, the halls typically offer more expensive options, usually touting ties to local chefs and promising more interesting cuisine than that found at a food court. While a food court sells fare from national chains, food halls typically stick to local vendors that have few locations.

“A food court is to give you a burger, fries or a slice of pizza to keep you shopping longer at the mall,” Cook said. “A food hall is part of the experience.”

Oftentimes, food halls feature multiple vendors. But Eataly is one exception.

The Italian chain sells itself as a trip to Italy, without the plane ride. Its large locations feature full-service restaurants; artisanal groceries; quick-service counters that sell gelato, pizza and espresso; along with cooking classes. Eight of Eataly’s 13 U.S. locations are in malls, with more on the way next year.

Eataly’s North American CEO Tommaso Bruso joined the company last year after two decades in the fashion industry, leading mall brands like Benetton and Diesel.

“People go to the mall for shopping, but also they go for a cultural experience,” Bruso said, adding that Eataly has found success with consumers both in and outside of malls.

But food halls haven’t won over everyone. Brandon said that food courts have performed better for Brookfield’s malls. He pointed to Chick-fil-A and Panda Express as two tenants that typically see strong sales in food courts. In 2023, the average annual revenue for a mall location of a Chick-fil-A was $4.5 million; the chain’s best-performing mall restaurant raked in nearly $19 million in annual sales, according to franchise disclosure documents.

Even with more competition than ever for shoppers, The Cheesecake Factory has managed to stay on top. And it’s showing how restaurants can help a broader mall.

The chain, known for its comprehensive menu and towering columns, was ranked No. 1 in Yelp’s mall brand report.

It’s been a rocky year for the company. Like many restaurants, the chain has struggled to attract diners, many of whom have pulled back their restaurant spending. In its latest quarter, the company’s same-store sales grew just 1.6%. Activist investors have also been putting pressure on the company to spin off its smaller brands, like North Italia. (The Cheesecake Factory declined to comment.)

Still, the company is outperforming the broader casual-dining category, based on metrics provided by industry tracker Black Box Intelligence.

Shares of the Cheesecake Factory have risen 43% this year, outstripping the S&P 500′s gains of 27% over the same period.

While fellow mall staples like California Pizza Kitchen and TGI Fridays have filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in recent years, the Cheesecake Factory has escaped the same fate.

And it’s maybe even helped its landlords’ finances. Enclosed malls with a Cheesecake Factory location are more likely to be current on their loan payments, according to a Moody’s Analytics report from 2023. Author Matt Reidy, director of commercial real estate economics for Moody’s, said it was more likely the result the company’s strong site selection, rather than cheesecakes saving a mall.

Still, Reidy said having one of the restaurant’s locations helps. And Brookfield’s Brandon agrees.

“My god, are they productive. It’s pretty incredible what they’re able to do, and they’re a valued partner of ours. We have dozens of leases with them, and we truly value them as a tenant,” he said.

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS

The fate of President Joe Biden’s landmark climate legislation, the Inflation Reduction Act, is in the hands of the incoming Republican-controlled White House, Senate and House of Representatives.

At the White House level, President-elect Donald Trump has already nominated three people to posts in his administration who are likely to be key to the future of the IRA, if they are confirmed by the Senate: hedge fund executive Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary, oilfield services company Liberty Energy CEO Chris Wright to lead the Department of Energy, and at the Interior Department, North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum.

Any full repeal of the IRA would have to be passed by both chambers of Congress, where Republican lawmakers so far have been reluctant to completely discredit the law’s benefits. House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., told CNBC in September that he would use “a scalpel and not a sledgehammer” on the IRA.

There’s a good reason for this approach: As of late October, roughly three quarters of the clean energy investments that have been made with IRA funds benefitted congressional districts that backed Trump in the 2020 presidential election, according to a Washington Post analysis of data from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and the clean energy think tank Rhodium Group.

But what future Trump Cabinet members would do is also “pretty profoundly important” to the future of the massive legislation, said Tanuj Deora, a former director for clean energy at the Biden administration’s Office of the Federal Chief Sustainability Officer. The agencies hold considerable power over the interpretation and implementation of the IRA’s programs and incentives, like tax credits and business loans. 

A priority for Republicans going into 2025 is extending the expiring provisions of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017. Trump is looking to extend the tax cuts within his first 100 days in office next year.

This extension would cost $4.6 trillion over the 10-year budget window, according to estimates from the Congressional Budget Office.

“In addition, Trump promised another seven to eight trillion in tax breaks during the last few weeks of the [presidential] campaign,” said Keith Martin, co-head of projects at the law and lobbying firm Norton Rose Fulbright.

The money for all this has to come from somewhere, however, and experts say provisions of the IRA are the most likely candidates for potential cost-savings. In an interview with the Financial Times last October, Bessent called the IRA “the Doomsday machine for the deficit,” suggesting that Trump could dismantle it to cut spending.

The IRA contains a range of targeted tax incentives designed to drive clean technology and energy production across the country.

Among them, the renewable energy tax credits, especially those for carbon capture technologies, domestic manufacturing and the green economy job transition are well-liked by Republicans, Martin said, and likely to be safe from any potential repeal efforts. 

But the current phase-out dates for the IRA tax credits are likely to be accelerated, experts predict, and the Trump transition team is already in talks to completely dismantle a $7,500 consumer tax credit for electric vehicles.

Most of the final rules governing implementation of the IRA tax credits have either been finalized or are expected to be by the end of the year.

But there is still considerable fear that the remaining money could be rescinded, frozen or “awarded in ways that are aligned with a shift in priorities” in a new administration, said Julie McNamara, deputy policy director of the Union of Concerned Scientists.

“Theoretically, a future Treasury could reverse course on interpretation and implementation, but that would take a long time and would need to be justifiable and defensible if challenged in the courts,” she added.

The more immediate concern, experts say, is the future of the Department of Energy’s Loan Programs Office (LPO), which provides financing for green projects. While Wright has yet to voice an opinion on the LPO, several Republicans have called for scaling it back or doing away with it altogether.

As of November, private companies were seeking more than $300 billion in funding applications from the LPO. Beneficiaries of the loan program have included Tesla, whose CEO Elon Musk is co-heading Trump’s outside advisory council, the so-called Department of Government Efficiency.

The Inflation Reduction Act expanded the LPO’s lending authority and eligibility requirements for projects.

“I think that a lot of the private sector is very concerned about the loan program,” said Claire Broido-Johnson, co-founder and president of Sunrock Distributed Generation, a financier and developer of commercial-scale solar projects. “Everybody’s trying to slam as many projects as they possibly can into this process before the administration changes.”

With the boom in AI data centers, domestic manufacturing and electrification, the U.S. is facing “a significant challenge in meeting a growing demand for energy,” said Frank Macchiarola, chief policy officer of the American Clean Power Association, which represents renewable energy interests in Washington.

This demand can only be met by an “all-of-the-above” energy policy, Martin says, especially if Trump is planning to reduce energy prices by 50% within his first year, as he promised.

Trump’s potential Cabinet officials in the energy space are consistent with that message, according to both Macchiarola and Deora.

“Burgum has a pretty clear track record in being supportive of all kinds of energy investment and given the very real need for more energy infrastructure of all types, it seems hard to imagine that somebody of his background and his business competence and his governance competence would try to suppress any reasonable technology from being deployed as quickly as possible,” Deora said. 

North Dakota is one of the leading states in wind energy, utilizing the source for more than one-third of the state’s electricity.

As for Wright, although he has denied the existence of a climate crisis, he worked in the solar industry as well as oil and gas, according to Trump’s statement announcing his nomination.

“He’s not necessarily against any technology, he’s just going to be for certain technologies,” Deora said. 

Ultimately, an all-of-the-above approach to energy would effectively defeat the purpose of climate policy, even though it might sound reassuring to sectors that would be negatively impacted by a targeted attack on renewables.

“Climate change isn’t about how many solar panels we put up. Climate change is how much carbon dioxide and methane that we do not admit,” said Deora.

“The concern isn’t about whether we keep business and keep solar developers happy. This is really about, are we going to produce more fossil fuels?”

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS