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November 22, 2025

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The S&P 500 ($SPX) just logged its fifth straight trading box breakout, which means that, of the five trading ranges the index has experienced since the April lows, all have been resolved to the upside.

How much longer can this last? That’s been the biggest question since the massive April 9 rally. Instead of assuming the market is due to roll over, it’s been more productive to track price action and watch for potential changes along the way. So far, drawdowns have been minimal, and breakouts keep occurring. Nothing in the price action hints at a lasting change — yet.

While some are calling this rally “historic,” we have a recent precedent. Recall that from late 2023 through early 2024, the index had a strong start and gave way to a consistent, steady trend.

From late October 2023 through March 2024, the S&P 500 logged seven consecutive trading box breakouts. That streak finally paused with a pullback from late March to early April, which, as we now know, was only a temporary hiccup. Once the bid returned, the S&P 500 went right back to carving new boxes and climbing higher.

New 52-Week Highs Finally Picking Up

If there’s been one gripe about this rally, it’s that the number of new highs within the index has lagged. As we’ve discussed before, among all the internal breadth indicators available, new highs almost always lag — that’s normal. What we really want to see is whether the number of new highs begins to exceed prior peaks as the market continues to rise, which it has, as shown by the blue line in the chart below.

As of Wednesday’s close, 100 S&P 500 stocks were either at new 52-week highs or within 3% of them. That’s a strong base. We expect this number to continue rising as the market climbs, especially if positive earnings reactions persist across sectors.

Even when we get that first day with 100+ S&P 500 stocks making new 52-week highs, though, it might not be the best time to initiate new longs.

The above chart shows that much needs to align for that many stocks to peak in unison, which has historically led to at least a short-term consolidation, if not deeper pullbacks — as highlighted in yellow. Every time is different, of course, but this is something to keep an eye on in the coming weeks.

Trend Check: GoNoGo Still “Go”

The GoNoGo Trend remains in bullish mode, with the recent countertrend signals having yet to trigger a greater pullback.

Active Bullish Patterns

We still have two live bullish upside targets of 6,555 and 6,745, which could be with us for a while going forward. For the S&P 500 to get there, it will need to form new, smaller versions of the trading boxes.

Failed Bearish Patterns

In the chart below, you can view a rising wedge pattern on the recent price action, the third since April. The prior two wedges broke down briefly and did not lead to a major downturn. The largest pullbacks in each case occurred after the S&P 500 dipped below the lower trendline of the pattern.

The deepest drawdown so far is 3.5%, which is not exactly a game-changer. Without downside follow-through, a classic bearish pattern simply can’t be formed, let alone be broken down from.

We’ll continue to monitor these formations as they develop because, at some point, that will change.

We also break down next week’s catalysts to watch to help you prepare for the week ahead.

In this article:

    This week’s tech sector performance

    This week, the stock market displayed a mixed performance amid ongoing uncertainty about artificial intelligence (AI) company valuations and policy decisions from the US Federal Reserve.

    On Monday (November 17), both the S&P 500 (INDEXSP:.INX) and the Nasdaq Composite (INDEXNASDAQ:.IXIC) fell below their 50 day moving averages for the first time since late April, a significant technical breakdown. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX:.DJI) also closed below this important threshold for the first time since October 10.

    Tuesday (November 18) saw continued volatility and some attempted stabilization attempts, but market participants remained cautious. Heavyweight tech and chip stocks were down ahead of NVIDIA’s (NASDAQ:NVDA) earnings call on Wednesday (November 19), but a global relief rally followed the firm’s upbeat earnings report and raised Q4 guidance. However, enthusiasm was short-lived, with markets pulling back on midday Thursday (November 20) after September US jobs numbers temporarily dashed hopes of a December interest rate cut from the Fed.

    Comments made at the Bloomberg New Economy Forum further contributed to market caution, with Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) President John Waldron warning that markets could still face further declines.

    In contrast, former Barclays (NYSE:BCS) CEO Bob Diamond offered a more optimistic view, calling the recent selloff a “healthy correction” rather than the start of a bear market.

    Later on Thursday and into Friday (November 21), the odds of a December rate cut rose again as Fed officials, including San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly and New York Fed President John Williams, signaled concerns about slowing economic growth and a cooling labor market. Markets surged on the back of the news to end the trading day sharply higher after a volatile week that saw all three major indexes post losses.

    This renewed optimism quelled some selling pressure going into the weekend, although investor caution around AI valuations and Fed policy remains prevalent.

    3 tech stocks moving markets this week

    1. NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA)

    NVIDIA reported stronger-than-expected Q3 earnings with revenue of US$57 billion, beating expectations of US$55 billion, and earnings per share of US$1.30 versus the predicted US$1.25. The company also offered an optimistic Q4 revenue forecast of US$65 billion, surpassing analysts’ expectations of US$62 billion.

    However, he also noted that the sustainability of this growth depends on continued investor confidence.

    He warned that, similar to past tech bubbles like the dot-com era, AI companies today may be overvalued, with expectations currently outpacing reality. Murillo cautioned that while AI is making breakthroughs, its practical applications are still limited, and there is risk that an AI bubble could burst, impacting even large tech giants.

    Despite recent share price declines amid debates of an AI bubble, CEO Jensen Huang reassured investors, stating, “There’s been a lot of talk about an AI bubble. From our vantage point, we see something very different.”

    After a midweek gain of over 5 percent due to its earnings report, NVIDIA posted a weekly loss of 3.79 percent.

    2. Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL)

    Alphabet rallied in early trading on Monday after Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A,NYSE:BRK,B) disclosed a US$4.3 billion stake in the company and reduced its stake in Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL). Alphabet then released Gemini 3 on Tuesday. The updated AI model has enhanced reasoning, coding and multimedia, alongside Antigravity, a Gemini-powered coding platform, and Nano Banana Pro, its latest detailed image-generation model.

    The week’s momentum was further fueled by reports that Google is on the verge of securing a US$1 billion annual deal with Apple to power the next-generation Siri, underscoring its dominant AI position across rival platforms.

    The company ended the week 4.86 percent higher.

    3. Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL)

    Apple was the steady pillar of tech resilience this week.

    With no obvious catalyst driving its price action this week, the company has maintained gains and investor interest following the strong earnings and product launches from earlier weeks.

    Consistency speaks to Apple’s enduring market strength and the confidence investors have in its long-term growth trajectory as it integrates AI across its product and services ecosystem.

    The company posted a modest advance of 0.99 percent for the week.

    NVIDIA, Alphabet and Apple performance, November 17 to 21, 2025.

    Chart via Google Finance.

    Top tech news of the week

              Tech ETF performance

              Tech exchange-traded funds (ETFs) track baskets of major tech stocks, meaning their performance helps investors gauge the overall performance of the niches they cover.

              This week, the iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SOXX) declined by 5.28 percent, while the Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SOXQ) saw a weekly loss of 5.14 percent.

              The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SMH) decreased by 4.63 percent.

              Tech news to watch next week

              With fewer major tech earnings reports expected next week, market focus will likely shift to key economic data releases. Dell Technologies (NYSE:DELL) will deliver its Q3 results on November 25.

              Analysts predict earnings of around US$2.48 per share, representing approximately 15 percent year-on-year growth. Revenue estimates hover around US$27.29 billion, suggesting nearly 12 percent annual growth.

              Important economic reports include the US Consumer Confidence Index on November 25 and the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index on November 26.

              US markets will close on November 27 for Thanksgiving and have a shortened session on November 28. November 28 will also bring Canada’s Q3 GDP release.

              Securities Disclosure: I, Meagen Seatter, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

              This post appeared first on investingnews.com

              The gold price remained fairly steady this week after last week’s brief uptick, largely trading between US$4,000 and US$4,100 per ounce.

              As is often the case, its sister metal silver was more volatile, jumping briefly above the US$52 per ounce level midway through the period.

              The precious metals faced some pressure on Thursday (November 20) after the release of September US jobs data. The Department of Labor report, which was delayed due to the government shutdown, came in stronger than expected, with nonfarm payrolls increasing by 119,000 for the month — more than double the gain of 50,000 estimated by analysts.

              The jobs numbers have dampened expectations that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its December meeting, as have minutes from the central bank’s latest meeting.

              ‘This (data) essentially confirms what the Fed discussed in October — a slowing yet stable jobs market. A December rate cut now appears increasingly unlikely’ — Peter Grant, Zaner Metals

              The minutes highlight the divide among Fed officials, who were not all in favor of October’s rate reduction. They also state that while ‘several participants’ believe lowering rates could be appropriate next month, ‘many’ want to leave rates unchanged.

              Fed Chair Jerome Powell said previously that a December cut isn’t a ‘foregone conclusion.’

              Aside from that, the minutes indicate broad approval for the end of quantitative tightening (QT) on December 1. Adrian Day of Adrian Day Asset Management highlighted the end of QT in our recent interview, saying that he sees a potential transition to quantitative easing ahead.

              Bullet briefing — Barrick faces turmoil, MP does Saudi refinery deal

              Barrick Mining faces more turmoil

              Turmoil continued for gold and copper producer Barrick Mining (TSX:ABX,NYSE:B) this week after a series of company developments made headlines.

              First, Reuters reported that Barrick’s board is considering splitting the company into two different entities: one focused on North America, and the other on Africa and Asia.

              Four sources familiar with the firm’s thinking told the news outlet that Barrick’s African assets could also be sold outright, as could the Pakistan-based Reko Diq mine — essentially undoing Barrick’s 2019 merger with Africa-focused Randgold Resources.

              Barrick didn’t respond to requests for comment, but later in the week news hit that activist investor firm Elliott Investment Management has taken a ‘large stake’ in Barrick.

              Sources told the Financial Times that Elliott is now among Barrick’s 10 top investors, meaning its stake is worth at least US$700 million. Elliott hasn’t shared information about what it would like Barrick to do, but is reportedly ‘encouraged’ by the idea of breaking the company in two.

              Barrick has faced numerous headwinds recently, including the seizure of a key gold mine in Mali and the departure of CEO Mark Bristow. Bristow, who took the helm at Barrick after it joined forces with Randgold, abruptly stepped down in September after facing criticism.

              Although shares of Barrick are up close to 130 percent year-to-date, the company has underperformed compared to its peers in the gold space.

              Bristow is not the only person to leave Barrick lately — the last piece of news about the company this week is that two senior managers and a top executive have departed. CEO Mark Hill announced the changes in a memo seen by Bloomberg, saying the company is looking to evolve its operating model so that it’s in line with strategic priorities.

              MP’s latest rare earths deal

              Rare earths miner MP Materials (NYSE:MP) and the US Department of Defense are teaming up on a strategic joint venture with Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden).

              The deal, which will see the three entities collaborate on a Saudi Arabian rare earths refinery, comes after the US and Saudi Arabia signed a strategic framework on securing critical supply chains. The refinery will process rare earths feedstock from Saudi Arabia and elsewhere, and will be able to produce both light and heavy rare earths.

              Under the Trump administration, the US has ramped up efforts to break China’s rare earths dominance, boosting relationship with MP Materials in the process — in July, the defense department agreed to buy US$400 million worth of preferred stock in the company, a move that MP called a ‘transformational public-private partnership.’

              Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

              This post appeared first on investingnews.com

              The United States added 119,000 jobs in September, a stronger-than-expected figure and a sign that the economy was adding jobs at a healthy clip before government shutdown.

              But the details of the report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics paint a more mixed picture, that of a labor market that has recently begun to look wobblier amid high-profile layoff announcements from a host of blue-chip companies.

              September’s employment gains were concentrated in health care, food and drinking establishments, and social assistance. Manufacturing shed 6,000 jobs, continuing a trend in a sector the Trump administration has touted as a key target of its economic policies. Transportation and warehousing also lost 25,300 jobs.

              The unemployment rate climbed from 4.3% to 4.4% in September, though the pickup was due in part to an increase in the labor force, which the BLS said gained 450,000 new potential workers.

              The pace of wage growth slowed.

              Thursday’s report was originally supposed to be released Oct. 3, but it was shelved because of the government shutdown. Jobs data collected for October will be released Dec. 16 as part of the full report covering November, the BLS said Wednesday.

              The absence of official economic reports over the past six weeks has made it difficult to accurately assess the current state of the jobs market.

              But data from private and alternative sources has painted a worrisome portrait amid signs of softening consumption among many households and stubborn price increases.

              Over the past few weeks, Amazon, General Motors, IBM, Microsoft, Paramount, Target and UPS have announced plans to eliminate tens of thousands of jobs. Their ranks were joined Thursday by Verizon, which announced the start of layoffs affecting 13,000, according to an internal memo.

              About 39,000 workers received layoff notices in October, according to data tracked by the Cleveland Federal Reserve — a number last seen in May and before that only during times of crisis.

              A separate report released this month by the research firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas counted 153,000 job cuts announced in October, though some analysts give less weight to its data over methodology questions.

              Whatever the exact total, those who do find themselves without work are now experiencing an average unemployment spell of 24.5 weeks — nearly six months. That’s the worst reading since November 2017.

              Tiffany Price, South Florida general manager for Job News USA, a job listings service, said many companies face budget cuts and have effectively frozen hiring. And what companies are still hiring are offering lower compensation rates that more experienced workers may have trouble accepting.

              The number of employers who attended a recent Job News jobs fair at Amerant Bank Arena in Broward County, Florida, was nearly half the figure of a year ago, while attendance among workers held steady at about 2,000 potential applicants, Price said.

              Still, many organizations report difficulties finding qualified workers, she said. On both the employer and the employee sides, a “post and pray” job application strategy has taken hold that leads to worse outcomes for both, she said. More successful outcomes on both fronts have come from local relationships and face-to-face outreach.

              A bright spot has been local government, Price said — something that is reflected in the national data, which shows employment in local government roles has continuously expanded since the Covid-19 pandemic recovery set in.

              “It’s a weird market,” she said.

              Questions about the health of the labor market now dominate discussions about whether the Federal Reserve should continue to cut interest rates. On Monday, Fed Governor Christopher Waller said a December cut was needed to stem further job-market deterioration.

              “My focus is on the labor market, and after months of weakening, it is unlikely that the September jobs report later this week or any other data in the next few weeks would change my view that another cut is in order,” he said.

              In his speech last month announcing a 0.25% rate cut, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell was more circumspect, saying it appeared that the jobs market was weakening only gradually and signaling he was not ready to guarantee a December rate cut was inevitable.

              The Fed’s divisions were laid bare in meeting notes released Wednesday from the October rate-setting meeting that showed a sharp split among policymakers about the risk that lower rates would spur already-elevated inflation by making it easier for consumers and businesses to borrow money.

              “Most participants noted that, against a backdrop of elevated inflation readings and a very gradual cooling of labor market conditions, further” interest-rate cuts “could add to the risk of higher inflation becoming entrenched,” the notes said.

              So far, many economic analysts have been reluctant to call it a full-blown jobs crisis, pointing to data from state-level claims for unemployment that remain subdued and recent reports from the payrolls processor ADP showing a slight rebound in new hires.

              “Fears of a renewed labour market downturn, amid reports of mass layoffs at several large firms, are not reflected in still-muted jobless claims or the pick-up in hiring in the ADP private payrolls report,” Thomas Ryan, North America economist for Capital Economics research group, wrote in a note published last week.

              This post appeared first on NBC NEWS

              Shoppers are still flocking to Walmart.

              The company raised its full-year earnings and sales outlook Thursday, heading into the crucial holiday shopping season.

              Walmart also offered fresh signs that it is shedding its original identity as a strictly down-market brick-and-mortar operation by growing its e-commerce business and increasing its market share of higher-income shoppers.

              Walmart’s shares closed more than 6% higher Thursday, even as the broader market suffered a dramatic sell-off. The stock is up more than 18% this year.

              The biggest retailer and grocer in the United States acknowledged the added financial pressures on lower-income households but said middle-income families are holding up. Walmart saw more sales growth in its grocery and health and wellness product categories than in general merchandise.

              ‘As pocketbooks have been stretched, you’re seeing more consumer dollars go to necessities versus discretionary items,’ Chief Financial Officer John David Rainey said on a call with analysts Thursday morning.

              The company reported that same-store sales for Walmart U.S. rose 4.5% in the quarter that ended Oct. 31, exceeding analysts’ expectations.

              “The team delivered another strong quarter across the business. eCommerce was a bright spot again this quarter. We’re gaining market share, improving delivery speed, and managing inventory well,” outgoing CEO Doug McMillon said in a statement.

              Walmart reported 27% growth in e-commerce sales globally.

              Walmart also announced that it will move from trading on the New York Stock Exchange to the tech-heavy Nasdaq next month. It’s the latest sign of America’s largest private employer working to position itself as tech-forward in order to compete with Amazon.

              The discounter’s third-quarter earnings come amid growing questions about whether Americans contending with tariffs, corporate layoffs and accelerating inflation are still confidently spending on retail.

              As a bellwether for the U.S. economy and consumer confidence, Walmart’s strong earnings and guidance indicate that consumers are still shopping — at least at the lower end of the retail price point.

              The company announced last week that McMillon will step down in January. McMillon, 59, started at Walmart as an associate in the 1980s and has helmed the company since 2014.

              Under his leadership, Walmart improved pay and benefits for many employees, renovated hundreds of stores and boosted its e-commerce and delivery programs, especially during the Covid pandemic.

              John Furner, CEO of Walmart U.S., will take over the top job Feb. 1. Since 2019, Furner has led Walmart’s American operations — by far the largest slice of the company, with around 1.6 million of Walmart’s approximately 2.1 million total associates worldwide.

              Walmart is leading the retail race against longtime rival Target, which Wednesday reported a drop in third-quarter sales and cut its full-year profit guidance.

              Target’s sales have faltered over the last few years, with some consumers expressing frustration over what they said were disorganized stores and rollbacks of the company’s diversity, equity and inclusion initiatives.

              In October, Target said it would cut about 1,800 corporate jobs.

              Target is hoping for a fresh start in the new year. Incoming CEO Michael Fiddelke will take over Feb. 1, the same day Furner becomes CEO of Walmart.

              The struggling retailer said Wednesday that it plans to increase its investment in stores and technology next year by 25%.

              Since January, U.S. businesses have had to contend with ever-changing tariffs under the Trump administration. Walmart has navigated the uncertainty by raising prices on some items, while swallowing some tariff costs on others. In the three months that ended Oct. 31, prices at Walmart U.S. rose around 1% overall, with higher prices on electronics, toys and seasonal items in particular due to tariff pressures.

              In the grocery section, Walmart expects egg prices to drop but anticipates the record-breaking beef prices will stay high, in part from cattle herds shrinking over the last few decades.

              Prices for other grocery staples are also up, though the Trump administration’s rollback of tariffs on many food items last week could offer some relief.

              Despite the rising prices, Walmart is offering its annual Thanksgiving menu deal for 10 at less than $4 per person. It’s less expensive than last year’s package, but it also contains fewer items.

              The company is also expanding its use of artificial intelligence, teaming up with OpenAI to allow customers to buy from Walmart within ChatGPT. Walmart has not detailed the terms of the partnership or shared when the new option could be available.

              This week, Target announced its own collaboration with OpenAI.

              Walmart has lagged behind rival Amazon in AI-driven e-commerce — Amazon debuted its Rufus shopping assistant in February 2024, more than a year before Walmart launched its counterpart, Sparky.

              This post appeared first on NBC NEWS